Card counting is a procedure whereby a player
keeps track of what cards have been dealt out of the deck
(or shoe). The counter uses this information to assist him
in making playing decisions. Before the reader develops
any pre-conceived notions on what Card Counting really entails,
let me dispel a couple of misconceptions.
Card Counting does not give you psychic-like powers to predict
the next card out of the deck. What Card counting will do
is give you a good indication of whether a deck is favourable
or unfavourable and the extent of this favourableness or
unfavourableness.
Card Counting does not involve memorizing every card that
comes out of the deck. If you are envisioning Tom Cruise
and Dustin Hoffman in the movie Rainman sitting at the Blackjack
table memorizing every card that is dealt with special autistic
powers, you are thinking of Card Counting all wrong. When
you count cards, you are not keeping track of individual
cards. All you are doing is keeping a relative score of
high value cards (10's and Ace's) to low cards (2, 3, 4,
5 and 6).
Card Counting: Basic Premise
The game of Blackjack is focused around 10-value cards
(10's and Face Cards) and Ace's. Why? Because combined,
they are the most plentiful card in the deck. The most basic
premise of Card Counting strategy is that decks rich in
10-value cards are advantageous to the player and decks
short on 10-value cards are advantageous to the Casino.
Why are decks rich in 10-value cards favourable?
There are three main reasons:
The higher the proportion of 10-value cards remaining in
the deck or shoe, the greater the likelihood of drawing
a Blackjack (A 10 value card and an Ace). The Dealer has
the same increased chance of getting a Blackjack under such
circumstances and will therefore get more Blackjacks also.
While that is true, when the dealer draws a Blackjack, you
will lose your entire bet (Unless you also have a Blackjack).
When you draw a Blackjack, however, you will not only win
your entire bet, but you will also win 50% more. Remember,
Blackjack pays 3-2. You will therefore win, not 100% of
your bet, but 150% of your bet. Therefore, although both
the odds of you and the dealer drawing a Blackjack increase
during favourable conditions, you will win 150% of your
bet when you draw the Blackjack while the dealer will only
take 100% of your bet when he draws a Blackjack. Therefore,
you will be more than happy trading Blackjack's with the
dealer under these favourable conditions.
The dealer must draw when he has a 16 or less. He has no
choice. When the deck is favourable, he runs a greater risk
of busting. You, on the other hand, can alter your strategy
to take advantage of favourable conditions. You don't have
to take a card when the odds of busting are great because
of a favourable deck.
Doubling Down. You have the option of doubling your wager.
During favourable conditions, this can be an extremely valuable.
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